{"id":41,"date":"2011-02-25T18:02:00","date_gmt":"2011-02-25T18:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/?p=41"},"modified":"2022-08-23T10:37:28","modified_gmt":"2022-08-23T10:37:28","slug":"how-important-is-analytical-intelligence-in-investing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/how-important-is-analytical-intelligence-in-investing\/","title":{"rendered":"How important is analytical intelligence in investing?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Above a certain level, not very important.&nbsp; IQ is a hygiene factor, not a discriminating factor: it helps to be reasonably smart, but above a certain threshold, further increments help less than in some other fields. The two PhD\u2019s in the book specifically commented on this\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;Sushil, Chapter 5<em>: \u201c\u2026for anyone in the top few percent of the population, IQ points are not the limiting factor in investment \u2013 other qualities such as recognising your ignorance matter more.\u201d&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;Vernon, Chapter 7:&nbsp;<em>\u201d Compared to his mathematics degree and his doctoral work in computer science , he thinks investing is not technically difficult, but it does require some mental habits which are possibly unusual, although not difficult\u2026\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20160419132250\/http:\/\/www.ederman.com\/new\/docs\/perplexed_quant.pdf\">Emanuel Derman<\/a>&nbsp;gives another version of this:&nbsp;<em>&#8220;I once said to one of our equity traders that I thought, on average, fixed-income traders seem to be smarter than equity traders. He agreed, adding \u2018That\u2019s because&nbsp;<strong>there\u2019s no competitive advantage to being that smart in equity trading\u2019<\/strong>.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think it helps to distinguish between mental strength and mental characteristics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mental strength<\/strong>&nbsp;refers to raw processing power, IQ, analytical ability.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mental characteristics<\/strong>&nbsp;means things like<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>&nbsp;Actively seeking information from dis-confirming sources<\/li><li>Adjusting for one\u2019s biases<\/li><li>Accepting uncertainty for long periods<\/li><li>Deferring decisions for as long as possible<\/li><li>Calibrating your certainty to the weight of evidence<\/li><li>Responding unemotionally to new information<\/li><li>Indifference to group affiliation. (Buffett in 1965<em>: \u201cWe derive no comfort because important people, vocal people, or great numbers of people agree with us. Nor do we derive comfort if they don&#8217;t.\u201d&nbsp;<\/em>)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;For intelligence above a certain level,&nbsp;<strong>mental characteristics are related only weakly, if at all, to IQ.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By the way, the mental characteristics listed above are not universally positive.&nbsp; There are many occupations and endeavours which require the protagonists to maintain habitual biases (<em>eg<\/em>&nbsp;politics), reduce or deny uncertainty (<em>eg<\/em>&nbsp;leadership), and affirm group affiliation (<em>eg<\/em>&nbsp;almost any role in any organisation).&nbsp;<strong>The mental characteristics which are helpful for investing may not be much use for anything else.&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Update (1 Nov 2011):<\/strong>&nbsp;some psychologists characterise the distinction above as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20160419132250\/http:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/stanovich1\/English\">intelligence versus rationality<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Above a certain level, not very important.&nbsp; IQ is a hygiene factor, not a discriminating factor: it helps to be reasonably smart, but above a certain threshold, further increments help less than in some other fields. The two PhD\u2019s in the book specifically commented on this\u2026 &nbsp;Sushil, Chapter 5: \u201c\u2026for anyone in the top few &#8230; <a title=\"How important is analytical intelligence in investing?\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/how-important-is-analytical-intelligence-in-investing\/\" aria-label=\"More on How important is analytical intelligence in investing?\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-free-capital","category-investment"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42,"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41\/revisions\/42"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.guythomas.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}